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MIT Blackjack Team: Interview with Team Manager Johnny C
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How a Founder of the MIT Blackjack Team Got Rich Beating Casinos
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Blackjack Mathematics Probability Odds Basic Strategy Tables Theory of Probability Applied to Blackjack ~ Mathematics, True Odds, Basic Strategy, Card Counting, House Advantage, Software, Systems By Ion Saliu, Founder of Blackjack Mathematics I.
The Fundamental Probability Issue: True Blackjack Odds - New Software Calculator They say roulette is the queen of casino games.
Then, blackjack is the king of the casino.
Many believe that Blackjack, or 21, or twenty-one is the most popular casino game in the world.
Blackjack is also the most researched game ever.
It is also the only casino game with fluctuating odds or probability.
The winning chance changes with the composition of the deck.
This is more about blackjack mathematics than anything else.
For gambling is such a mathematical phenomenon that the casinos would do.
This casino game is so easy to win.
In truth, card counting at blackjack lopsidedly serves the greedy read more of the casinos.
The blackjack player is honestly served only by the Fundamental Formula of Gambling FFG.
And thus the casino henchmen will threaten you if you simply write down in a notebook what you lost and what you won.
Hey, that's a tax requirement in any jurisdiction!
Blackjack or Twenty-one seen the movie 21?
There are plenty of books dedicated to the so-called mathematics of blackjack.
There is worthiness in a few of such books or eBooks.
For the most part, however, there isn't much mathematics in all those blackjack studies.
The heart of the matter is a worthless concept known as card counting.
I do have a strong interest in blackjack.
It is well documented at my website.
As a matter of fact, I consider myself the best blackjack player ever.
As Muhammad Ali put: "It ain't bragging if you back it!
So far, nobody has dared to honor my challenge.
The real casino challenge is open to any gambler, basic blackjack strategy mit author, or gambling system developer — card-counting or not.
I wrote a book about the true mathematics of link, insofar as precise probability calculations are concerned.
You might be shocked to hear, but the mathematical truth is that your knowledge of blackjack probabilities or odds is dead wrong.
Everything you had known was based on guesswork, albeit it educated guesswork.
To this date, the blackjack odds are the same as John Scarne calculated them in the 1950s.
The computers were not the commodity they are today.
And John Scarne was not a computer programmer!
The way he calculated the odds made sense for the first two and three blackjack cards in a round.
I quote from his "Scarne's New Complete Guide to Gambling" pg.
That is the only thing.
The truly correct method applies the mathematics of combinatorics alright.
But instead of the numerical sets known as combinations, we must apply the mathematics of arrangements.
The combinations represent boxed arrangements.
Hence, we played cute and said half-true for the blackjack combinations case!
The problem comes to life beginning with 3-card hands.
A hand like 10-6-7 is not equivalent to 10-7-6: Dealer must stop at 10-7.
How did Scarne come up with that 169 factor???
Well, that's what they call an educated guess, or guesstimation!
John Scarne didn't have a clue, mathematically speaking.
He has never explained how he came up with that 169, kind of a new number of the beast!
There are 13 cards in each of the 4 suits in blackjack; 13 to the power of 2 equals 169.
In order to calculate the probability precisely, we must generate all the elements blackjack hands in lexicographical order.
Nobody even knows how many hands are possible, as their size varies widely: From two cards to 10 cards for one deck!
When two or more decks are employed, the blackjack hands can go from two cards to 11 cards.
Of course, there is a lot of blackjack software out there!
But all that software belongs to the simulation category!
That is, the blackjack hands are dealt randomly.
Based on the well-known-by-now Ion Saliu's Paradox, random generation does not generate all possible combinations, as some elements repeat.
So, we can never calculate the probability precisely based on random generation.
If there are 334,490,044 total possible complete hands in blackjack, only 63% will be unique and 37% will be repeats — if we randomly generate 334,490,044 hands.
I rolled up my sleeves again.
I had started years ago a blackjack project to generate all possible hands.
It basic blackjack strategy mit very difficult.
I found the project in the year of grace 2009 and also the code to generate sets from a list last update: 2014.
In this case, the list is a 52-line text file with the values of the blackjack cards, from the four 2's to the 16 Tens, to the four Aces.
That's a stringent mathematical requirement.
The deck of cards must be also ordered lexicographically, if we want to correctly generate all qualified sets in lexicographical order.
I generated blackjack hands as both combinations and arrangements.
Then, I opened the output files text format and checked as many hands as possible.
Yes, computing things are so much better today than just 5 years ago.
The generating process is significantly faster.
Also, opening large files is much easier today.
My text editor of choice is my own MDIEditor And Lotto WE.
It opens reasonably fast text files of several megabytes in size.
The editor also uses a fixed-width font, which makes reading blackjack hands easier.
I wrote a special Web page dedicated to the basic blackjack strategy mit of calculating precisely mathematically the bust-odds at blackjack following the Dealer's rules.
Keep this new figure in mind: The odds for a blackjack Dealer's bust are at least 33%.
The bust probability is calculated by dividing the number of Dealer's busted hands to the total possible blackjack actions.
Blackjack actions is a parameter that counts everything: Busted hands, pat hands 17 to 21blackjack hands, and draws or hits to the first 2-card hands incomplete hands.
The software does NOT print the incomplete bj hands.
How can we apply the new programming to determine the bust odds for click here blackjack Player?
After heated debates in forums in 2014, I simply modified my software.
The hit-stand limits can be set by the user.
Initially, it was fixed — the ubiquitous hit all 16s and under, stand on all 17s or greater.
The software user can set the hit-limit to any value.
The choices are, obviously, from 12 to 16.
I tried, for example, the hit limit to 11 — that is, hit anything 11 or under, stand on anything 12 or higher.
Evidently, there is no bust in such situations.
That's another proof that my programming is 100% correct.
I believe that setting the hit limit to 14 or 13 reflects pretty closely the bust odds for the Player.
It averages out to 7.
It is a far cry from the intentionally false house advantage HA of 1%, or even.
The overwhelming majority of blackjack players lose their bankrolls quickly, because this is NOT a 50-50 game or so much close to that margin!
And always be mindful that blackjack is strongly sequential: The Dealer always plays the last hand.
Otherwise, the casinos would go bankrupt!
Show how you arrived at your answer.
If you are not sure post an idea to get us started!
As specified in this eBook, the blackjack hands can be viewed as combinations or arrangements the order of the elements counts; like in horse racing trifectas.
There are 52 cards in one deck.
There are 4 Aces and 16 face-cards and 10s.
The blackjack or natural can occur only in the first 2 cards.
The combinations are also considered boxed arrangements; i.
In arrangements, the order of the cards is essential: King + Ace is distinct from Ace + King.
The Fundamental Myth of Blackjack Gambling: Card Counting You might have seen that movie 21.
It had absolutely no success in theaters.
A DVD was released in 2008 with much more success.
The 21 DVD reopened the huge gambling appetite for the so-called sure-fire strategy of counting cards at blackjack.
The movie also introduced a powerfully symbolic ghost: The MIT Blackjack Team.
If you watch all the features of the DVD, you will see the author of the original book that inspired the 21 movie.
How could people with the heads on their shoulders believe that an MIT blackjack team was even possible?!
MIT Massachusetts Institute of Technologysuch a prestigious institution, would even accept the rumor of a gambling team on the premises?
Let alone a real gambling team consisting of faculty and student body?!
But adding MIT to a blackjack team did wonders!
The legend of card counting started with a well-written book: "Beat the Dealer!
Thorp, was a mathematician working for IBM.
He also learned computer programming in order to prove his theory on blackjack card counting.
atlantic city blackjacks arena football the player keeps track of the cards that were dealt, there will be variable situations for the player.
Thorp speculated that the situations were favorable to the player when ten-valued cards and Aces high cards were predominant in the remainder of the card deck.
Reversely, the situation was unfavorable to the player when there were more small cards 2 to 6 compared to high cards.
The 7, 8, and 9-valued cards were considered neutral.
The same John Scarne we talked about before puts jokingly the advantage of card counting.
Suppose there is a one-deck blackjack game with 100% penetration i.
The player tracked the entire deck absolutely precisely.
There are 5 cards remaining in the deck: 3 eights and 2 sevens.
The player would bet the maximum immediately actually, millions if it were possible!
There is NO way the player can lose!
The player would always stay on two cards it doesn't matter if it is 7+7, or 7+8 or 8+8!
On the other hand, the dealer would always bust.
It doesn't matter: 7+7 under 17 ; draws an 8 and busts.
Or, 8+8 still under 17 ; draws a 7 and busts.
A situation like that would have occurred, but extremely rarely.
To have 2 sevens and 3 eights at the bottom of a 52-card deck has a degree of certainty in the same category as the moon colliding with the earth!
Keep in mind, total possible permutations of 52 cards is calculated by factorial of 52 52!
Who can say that number?!
As a matter of fact, John Scarne challenged Edward O.
Thorp to a real blackjack game in a casino.
I quote from Scarne's New Complete Guide to Gambling pg.
Thorp's reply was a big 'No'.
The curiosity of the TV news division was triggered by a successful lawsuit that Ken Uston had won.
He charged that he was barred from playing blackjack because of his skills as a blackjack card counter.
The court system decided that no player may be basic blackjack strategy mit against based on the skills of the player.
The curious thing is that Ken Uston became a spokesperson for the casino he had filed lawsuit against: Resorts.
He appeared in TV commercials aired in New York and other big cities of the eastern board of the U.
Even more curiously, the 60 Minutes Ken Uston segment was shot inside the same casino!
Moreover, Ken Uston was allowed to win big money, as if were a fictional movie!
Not to mention that doing card counting can result in harassment and eviction by force, sometimes!
Card counting, as devised by Edward E.
Thorp is a footnote to gambling history now.
It offered a slight advantage in one-deck games, and especially towards the end of the deck.
Ideally, a player could destroy the blackjack game if knowing the composition of the deck and the sequence of the remaining cards in the deck.
The latter part is the real problem: Nobody will ever be able to know the sequence of the remaining cards in the deck.
The count may be +5, but often the sequence is Low card, High card, Low, Low, High, High, Low, Low, High, etc.
games blackjack slots free casino dealer has the same probability to get the high cards.
It is even more complicated when one considers that there are several blackjack players at the table.
The cards, Low and High, will be distributed randomly among them.
In one-deck games, and only playing head-to-head against the dealer, there is a slightly higher chance for the player to get a blackjack.
The dealer also has an equally higher chance to get a blackjack.
The difference is the player is paid 150% for a blackjack, while the dealer always gets 1 to 1 for a natural.
Let's say the player has a 2% higher probability to get a blackjack for a positive count, including Aces.
What is 2% of 5%?
That is, a 4.
On the average, there will be 14 or 15 hands between blackjacks, in neutral counts, as well as in positive counts.
I have one problem with the two blackjack authors and researchers, Edward E.
Thorp and Ken Uston.
I am sure they did a large number of computer simulations.
I am sure they noticed the negligible effect of the system.
Yet, they continued to influence a large number of potential casino players that card counting represented the road to the riches.
I would like to present a few more excerpts on Thorp and Uston.
Carl Sifakis writes in his 1990 Encyclopedia of Gambling pg.
Thorp is still in computerized mathematical research, but he is now concerned with looking for values in stocks… The late Ken Uston, author of numerous books on counting, was at the end of his life involved in computer work in the Middle East, helping Kuwait track billions of dollars in investments.
He was not playing blackjack in Atlantic City, although he had won a court case that barred casinos in New Jersey from refusing to let counters play.
In fact, Uston, upon winning that case, didn't hit the blackjack tables in Atlantic City but signed up to do TV commercials for Resorts International, the very target of his suit… One long time gambler, Murray Friedkin, says of Thorp in 'Big Julie of Vegas' by Edward Linn: 'Thorp is the smartest man in the world; if you don't believe me, ask him…Whatever Thorp may say, I can tell you that if he has made any money on blackjack he made it by writing a book.
Even more mystique is added when considering that Las Vegas is still barring card counters from playing blackjack.
Blackjack is a much bigger game today than it was before 'Beat the Dealer' appeared.
More people than ever patronize the tables and casinos today make more money from the game than ever before.
That's a significant bottom line.
It's great advertising when someone reports a big win at the blackjack tables.
Players have been encouraged for many years to believe that blackjack can be beaten, and the casinos don't want to do anything to disrupt that message.
Indeed, the legend of blackjack card counting plays as the most successful means of advertising for the casinos.
It certainly attracts a large number of players who believe counting at blackjack is a road to riches.
There are also other ways that the card counting legend favors the casinos.
Read any blackjack book on card counting and virtually all of them contain the same cliché.
They do make bonehead, stupid plays from time to time just to hide their card-counting skills.
What a stupid strategy for the blackjack player!
What a profitable play for the casino!
It is admitted that counting cards offers no more than a 2% advantage for the blackjack player.
That's a slim margin by all standards.
Making bonehead plays can easily wipe out the slim, potential 2% advantage.
The casinos owe big time to all authors of card-counting books.
Then, in places where it is legal to ban skilled players from the blackjack action, the casinos commit downright robbery.
Exactly at that point, the pit boss approached the counter and asked him to leave the blackjack game!
Meanwhile, the player was deprived of a reasonable chance to recuperate his loss.
After all, they say, blackjack is almost an even-odds game for a player using the basic strategy.
It is fair to expect swings in the winning and losing columns of the player.
Of course, the banned player is allowed to play blackjack again.
The player is thrown out again!
If the known counter is winning, the rationale is that a swing in the fortune will follow.
Sooner or later, the player will encounter a severe loss.
That's when you ask a counter to get out!
What casino would be happy if a winner takes the money and run.
The 21 movie was about counting cards at blackjack.
It glamorized the tactic by adding intelligence to the whole scheme: the MIT factor!
The movie was shot inside the MGM Grand casino!
Would you read again the threatening message from the chairman of the same casino 2001?
He threatened my guests that the casinos would throw out click patrons who would dare to write down roulette numbers!
Yet, the same casino allowed a big movie production inside their building!
A movie production worshipping card counting.
Theory of Streaks: Foundation of my Blackjack Gambling Strategy Yes, I and casino blackjack have always had a glamorous affair.
I admit, I was playing blackjack at the same tables with women who showed a strong interest in me at times.
A lot of mathematics is involved and implied in this casino game.
Everything that has mathematics and potential to blackjack 7 more about Truth attracts me as pollen attracts a hard-working bee.
I was a farm hand since my arrival to the United States in 1985.
It was hard physical work.
I always looked at the positive side as well.
https://clearadultskin.com/blackjack/bingo-odds-vs-blackjack.html physical work balanced my intense intellectual work, including computer programming.
Unfortunately, hard physical work leads to physical pain more often than not.
In early spring of 1996, unbearable back pain took me out of farm labor.
I was unable to find employment until late summer of 1997.
One of the things I did was studying casino gambling.
I used one of Thorp's terms: gambling mathematics.
It was definitely mathematics.
I saw also a means to make some money.
I thought numerous times of turning into a professional gambler.
There was a problem nonetheless: Bankroll.
I barely had money just to survive.
I am not ashamed of telling the truth.
I worked mostly in temporary jobs.
Good thing is I was paid.
I was able to put food on the table and sleep under a roof.
Additionally, I was able to save some money.
I tried to build a bankroll for casino gambling.
Going to a casino was a freebie from where Click to see more live.
The casinos offered free bus drives.
They are good at mathematics, aren't they?
I hit the Atlantic City casinos a few times until the end of that year of grace 1997.
I had a couple hundred dollars when I first started with blackjack.
I returned home with more than the double of that amount.
My window of opportunity was five hours.
The bus trip would start early in the morning Wednesday or Sunday.
The trip to Atlantic City took around five hours.
The trip back home would be five hours later.
The casino bosses were not mean during my first hits in 1997 - 1998.
First of all, I was a small-timer: No more that 200-300 dollars per session.
Besides, they might have tried to figure out my system.
It was clear to them that I applied a form of Martingale betting.
Most gamblers know that Martingale betting requires doubling up the bet after each loss.
Well, it was a whole lot more than that and a whole lot more refined, in my case.
The only negative reactions I recollect came from other gamblers.
Keep also in mind that my blackjack system was based on the wrong assumption that the dealer's bust at blackjack was 28%, as taken as a biblical figure in the gambling kingdom.
As seen in another chapter, that figure is significantly higher.
Therefore, the house advantage at blackjack is higher.
Also importantly, the player's position at the table is relevant.
At that time, I tried the middle position.
By contrast, most blackjack players prefer the last position at the table just before the dealer.
That is the best position at the blackjack table: The last seat or the third base.
It is a mathematical law.
The more players before me bust, the lower the degree of certainty that I will bust — the BJ dealer as well.
It is worth repeating.
The bust probability is constant, while the degree of certainty of serial busts decreases.
Nobody gets three or four heads in a row with the same frequency as just one heads followed by one tails.
And thusly we returned to the concept of streaks once more.
As I said before, probability theory might as well be named the science of streaks.
The core of my casino blackjack strategy was founded on the application of streaks.
The method required reasonably accurate records of the hands I played as loss or win.
When I applied my gambling strategy in writing, I noted a loss by — a minus sign and a win by +.
Theory of probability, in general, is the science of the streaks and skips.
A statement such as "This event will always have the probability equal to zero point zero zero three four etc.
The probability represents the ratio of the favorable cases over total possible cases.
So, it works with integers.
In real-life we deal with integers discrete values such as numbers of elements and numbers of trials.
The events will hit, or miss, in streaks pretty clearly predicted by rules and formulas of probability theory.
If you play longer sessions at the blackjack table, for example, you will face a higher probability of some very long losing streaks.
But play shorter blackjack sessions, and there is a far better chance that you'll escape with shorter losing streaks.
It is highly recommended to play blackjack more aggressively at the beginning of short sessions.
Then, move on to another table, preferably another casino.
A session at the blackjack table can be recorded as a succession of streaks.
For example, from the Player's perspective — Win Loss WW LLL Push L W.
The streaks can be also viewed as skips between hits; e.
The underpinning of the streaks assure vip grinders bankroll booster partypoker password grateful undeniably mathematical.
If you don't believe me, take Warren Weaver's word on it.
Please reopen his informative book, Lady Luck — the Theory of Probability at page 346.
The streaks can be calculated precisely and real events concur with the formulas.
Warren Weaver does the calculations by brute force.
He takes the simplest and most fair game of chance: Coin tossing.
How many 4 consecutive runs of heads H can we toss in 1024 trials?
Evidently, 4 heads should appear exactly in this pattern: THHHHT where T stands for tails.
I wrote software to calculate the number of streaks or runs of consecutive outcomes of various lengths for any given probability and number of trials.
My presentation here starts with the old blackjack figure of a dealer bust equal to 28%.
Many blackjack players will still believe in that predicament for some time to come.
I metodo hi lo blackjack here only the result of discarding the pushes.
Number of hands to play: 1000 or changing blackjack tables around 5 times a day.
Following is the total streaks for the Dealer and the Player in 1000 hands, from single streaks 1 and 2 to 8 multiple like-streaks.
The 20 extra blackjack hands are most mathematically likely allocated as 11 52% to the dealer and 9 48% to the player.
Thus, the dealer can expect up to 11 consecutive wins in 1000 hands — one time; the player can expect up to 9 consecutive wins in 1000 blackjack hands - once.
The probability for dealer to bust: 28%.
In a majority of cases, the blackjack dealer busts in two consecutive hands, or skipping one hand, or skipping two hands.
The same is not true for the player.
The basic strategy blackjack player busts 17% of the time.
Therefore, the streaks of the player's bust are longer.
Let's calculate the number of streaks of losing exactly four consecutive blackjack hands from the player's perspective.
We symbolize a dealer's win by L and a player's win by W.
We can calculate the number of the streaks consisting of exactly four consecutive losses for the Player.
That is, calculate the number of the streaks in the format WLLLLW.
Mathematics of gambling expects such a streak once every 60 hands, or twice in 120 blackjack hands.
Or, 17 times in 1000 continuous blackjack hands.
Yes, it is possible, albeit mathematically rarely, that learn more here blackjack player can experience 3+ such streaks in 100 hands.
Equivalently, however, casino executives hate the equivalent thing!
Those are likely sessions with longer player's win-streaks, usually with more frequent dealer's busts!
Now, the more pessimistic reality in blackjack, from the player's perspective.
I am a strong believer in the validation of any idea or theory.
My latest blackjack software 2009 undeniably proves that the percentage of the bust hands is, at least, 33%.
The bust hands were generated following the dealer's rule: Hit all hands under 16 and stand on all hands 17 or higher.
In this case, the house advantage HA at blackjack becomes: 33.
That HA figure is valid only for one player against the dealer.
If we deduct the traditional 4% gained by the basic strategy player, we reach a 7.
The streaks will be worse for the player under these new circumstances which I believe to be the correct ones.
No wonder so many blackjack players are dismayed to hear that blackjack is almost a 50-50 game, if playing basic strategy!
The players lose far more than the so-called mathematical expectation.
I did hear casino players at the blackjack tables expressing anger after quickly losing all their chips.
I certainly agree with them right now.
The house edge at roulette is better than in blackjack!
Yes, some will always stigmatize you: "Roulette is a sucker's game!
The number of hands to play is the same: 1000 or changing blackjack tables around 5 times a day.
~ Dealer: 105 single-win streaks and 139 multi-win streaks; ~ Player: 140 single-win streaks and 105 multi-win streaks.
The 19 extra hands are most mathematically likely allocated as 11 57% to the dealer and 9 43% to the player.
Thus, the dealer can expect up to 11 basic blackjack strategy mit wins in 1000 hands — one time; the player can expect up to 9 consecutive wins in 1000 blackjack hands - once.
There is a significant difference that favors the blackjack dealer — that is, the casinos.
A number of gamblers cautioned me with regards to John Scarne.
Indeed, he helped the U.
On the other hand, he had a serious financial interest in the gambling industry.
He was friends with Frank Sinatra, who, as loudly rumored, had friendship in the mob world.
Perhaps John Scarne intentionally published wrong calculations pertinent to the house advantage at blackjack!
The real odds would have scared away players from the most attractive and most popular casino game!
Noticeable differences, if playing 1000 hands continuously.
My software Streaks and Blackjack always enforce the rule of playing fewer hands at the same table.
I was like most gamblers.
I suspected dealer cheating quite a few times.
Why does that dealer win so many hands in a row, while my wins come in single streaks that frequently?
Believe me, I looked at dealers' hands so intensely more info that I risked being treated as hostile!
I have never observed foul play, however.
I played for fun in a Detroit casino in the summer of 2009.
I spent some time with my daughter.
One of my main points was the length of the streaks.
Why did the dealer have so many long winning streaks against mewhile my winnings came mostly in the meager one hand a time?
I remember asking my daughter if she remembered my streaks of 5 or longer winning hands?
She was keeping track as well.
I did not have a 5-streak in about 100 hands!
As you see in the table above, a 5-streak of consecutive winning hands occurs 5 times in 1000 hands.
That is, less than one occurrence.
The blackjack dealer has undoubtedly the best position at the table.
No blackjack player can ever take the dealer's position.
The best position for a player is just before the dealer the last seat or the third base.
The more players at the table, the better for the player in the last seat.
The more players busted before the third base, the lower the bust probability for the blackjack player in the last position.
The reverse is also true: No busts by the players before you, in the last position, your bust probability is higher — the blackjack online pelicula dealer's, too!
If you play blackjack, be sure to sit in last chair, just before the dealer.
The more players at the blackjack table, the better you are.
And be sure to chip in with at least the table's maximum limit to withstand long losing streaks.
Try to play no more than 100 hands at the same table higher probability for shorter losing streaks.
You can play much more aggressively within the first 50-100 blackjack hands.
If you and I happen to be at the same table, be grateful and let me sit at the third base!
You can still learn a https://clearadultskin.com/blackjack/on-a-blackjack-phone.html trick or two by watching me.
Hear now another new bold statement: Blackjack is a positional game of chance.
The position of the players, dealer included, is of the essence.
The position is next organically linked to the sequence of the cards being dealt, and therefore the blackjack hands.
The degree of certainty for a busted hand depends, indirectly proportionately, to the position of the player the lexicographic index of the sequence.
That's the main reason why the blackjack dealer has the best position at the table lexicographic sequence.
One cannot apply here the probability of the binomial distribution because of the fixed direction of the card dealing.
The game would be a lot fairer if the dealing of the cards would be like in holdem poker.
In poker, every player will be the first, the second.
The blackjack player, unfortunately, can't change the hand position or sequence.
The following passages show how I applied my streak strategy at the time when I thought the dealer bust was 28%.
I also considered that player's probability was 48%, while dealer's was set to 52%.
In the light of the new blackjack odds, the situation is worse for the player: 42.
In hindsight, my previous blackjack strategy was more aggressive than mathematically advised.
Yet, I was able to win consistently, up to 2003 when I reached a serious bump on the road.
The floor manager of an Atlantic City casino prevented me from playing blackjack.
I had been impeded to play roulette the same day, in the same casino.
I did carry a pocket notebook pencil-and-paper and wrote down my losing and winning streaks.
It was not a cheating device, by any stretch of imagination!
A pencil is not an electronic device, like a miniature camera to peek at the cards in the deck!
I never touched a deck of cards or a roulette wheel.
I documented thoroughly the incidents and published several pages at my website especially.
You will find exact times and badge numbers and even go here of the casino personnel involved.
I didn't use a notebook in my previous casino outings.
I memorized my streaks in the manner presented in detail here:.
I martingale more aggressively at the beginning of the blackjack game.
I martingale the first count when it reaches 4.
Since the second parameter is more consistent, I martingale it after it reaches 3.
I go up to 7 in both cases 2-4-8 and 2-4-8-18.
I stop at 7.
My probability software Streaks proves the more aggressive betting at the beginning of a blackjack or gambling session.
The degree of certainty DC for long streaks losing or winning streaks is lower.
I become more cautious after 100 blackjack hands or so.
I martingale the first count after it reaches 6 or 5 earlier in the game and the second count after it reaches 5 or 4 earlier in the game.
I go as much https://clearadultskin.com/blackjack/blackjack-spongebob-gallery.html I can or allowed.
If I sense that the oregon blackjack is real bad, especially inside the same shoe, I stop the Martingale after 7, and start another one with 3 units after the previous streak ends.
My full system, as used with a notebook, keeps track of several streaks: Win WLoss LDealer Bust DBPlayer Bust PBDealer Blackjack DJPlayer BJ PJ.
In my trimmed down version, without the notebook, I only keep track of click the following article streaks: Win W+Loss L.
I recreate here a fragment with my real play at Trump Plaza Casino, July 21, 2003, beginning 5:30 PM; blackjack dealer: Ginny.
The 1 to 100 ratio of the bet spread is the minimum I accept.
The + sign means I won; e.
The minus sign means I lost that hand; e.
I always differentiate between a dealer bust B and my busted hand b.
The j means a blackjack or natural both here dealer or player.
The session was short under 100 blackjack hands.
My more info losing streak was 5 consecutive hands.
My longest winning streak was 4 consecutive hands two occurrences.
Yes, things can go wrong even in short sessions.
A blackjack player might encounter a really long losing streak.
As a matter of fact, that's the mantra of all casino executives or gambling gurus who have a strong financial interest selling non-mathematical systems.
They will tell you that you are going to lose in very long streaks.
But they never mention the opposite: The gambler can win in very long streaks.
I call that the gambler's fallacy in reverse.
Things happen both ways: They are mathematical, but they represent the rare exception, not the norm.
If you experience a long winning streak, my advice is to leave that blackjack table as soon as the hot streak ends.
The casinos react with hostility to the new blackjack dealer's bust odds, probability calculations by Ion Saliu in 2009.
Blackjack is a casino game far worse than assumed by most gamblers.
No, the casinos couldn't resist reacting.
They should know by now that I don't get intimidated.
Yet, they keep reacting every time I publish something of great importance.
No doubt, my new research in calculating the blackjack odds of busting is ground-breaking.
The new figures will surely have an impact on the game of blackjack.
They even make me a criminal by association!
They compare me to the criminals who become their own lawyers!
Please read an hostile email I suspect originated in a casino highly paid office:.
See above: The comprehensive directory of the pages and materials on the subject of blackjack, baccarat, software, systems, and basic strategy.
All three color-coded charts in one file, in the best decision-making sequence: Split Pairs, to Double Down, to Hit or Stand.
~ Founded on valuable mathematical discoveries with a wide range of scientific applications, including probability theory applied to blackjack gambling, software, systems, new odds.

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Starring Kevin Spacey, Jim Sturgess, Kate Bosworth based on Ben Mezrich's book "Bringing Down the House" which tells the true story of the real MIT Blackjack Team during the 1990s Jeff Ma After retiring from the MIT Blackjack Team, Jeff Ma co-founded the sports stock market website PROTRADE.
Kevin Spacey Born: July 26, 1959 Birthplace: South Orange, New Jersey Spacey's "21" character is a composite of 3 individuals.
John Chang Pictured left, in disguise.
Bill Kaplan Kaplan co-founded J.
M" in the History Channel.
The first year I played, we returned 154 percent to our investors.
That's after paying off expenses.
You try and do that on Wall Street.
In the movie 21, an unorthodox math professor named Micky Rosa Kevin Spacey leads the team.
The 21 true story reveals that the real MIT Blackjack Team was led by three individuals, none of whom were professors.
Arguably, the most notable is Bill Kaplan, a Harvard Business school graduate who had also done his undergraduate studies at Harvard.
John Chang and J.
Massar were also very much the basis for 21's Micky Rosa.
Massar, and John Chang, the fact is there is little, if anything, that resembles either of us except that he started and ran the team and was focused on running the team as a basic blackjack strategy mit says Bill Kaplan.
John Chang graduated from MIT in 1985 with a degree in electrical engineering.
An influential member of the original team, Chang would later re-team with Bill Kaplan as a co-manager in the early 1990s.
M" in the History Channel documentary Breaking Vegas was an MIT alum who had helped Kaplan manage the original team in the early 1980s, shortly after the first casinos opened in Atlantic City.
Jeff Ma, the real life Ben Campbell, came from a well-to-do family.
One of the reasons I ended up not going to Harvard Medical School is because of blackjack and all the money I could make there.
Former team leader John Chang said that the movie's scholarship interview is a plot device that "never happened" in real life.
You know that Campbell never gets to keep what he made — otherwise, why would he be applying?
The real Jeff Ma Ben from the movie says that his father is very much alive and well, unlike the character's father in the movie.
His parents and his sister were his guests at the 2008 21 movie premiere at Planet Hollywood in Las Vegas.
In the movie, MIT team members Ben Jim Sturgess and Jill Kate Bosworth share a brief love scene and end up a couple at the end of the film.
Their real life counterparts, Jeff Ma and Jane Willis, were never a couple.
In fact, Jane and her boyfriend, who were both "math geeks," were recruited by Jeff Ma in the early 1990s.
Jeff knew them and had been friends with both of them.
Jane Willis and her boyfriend later married and divorced.
In 2005, she got remarried to Rich Davey.
Their wedding was held in a Catholic church located behind the Tropicana and across from the Mandalay Bay casinos in Las Vegas.
The movie shows the characters talking on cell phones and playing blackjack at the Red Rock and Planet Hollywood casinos, which didn't open until 2006 and 2007, respectively.
The 21 true story reveals that the real MIT Blackjack Team, on which the movie was based, played in the early 1990s.
The MIT Blackjack Team first came into existence in 1980.
It was started by Bill Kaplan part of the inspiration for Kevin Spacey's characterwho founded the team on the same business principles and practices that he had employed in starting and running a Vegas based team for the previous three years.
One of the players we trained in late 1982 and 1983 was John Chang.
In addition to presenting a variety of strategies for success at blackjack, it also includes Thorp's "Basic Strategy" chart.
Learn how to use the chart to make decisions when playing blackjack.
Did Fisher really recruit Ben Campbell to play on the team?
Mike Aponte, the real life Jimmy Fisher, recruited Jeff Ma Ben Campbell in 21 to play on the MIT team.
The movie falsely makes the team out to be an MIT only club.
In reality, there were members from other schools, including Harvard and Princeton.
For example, Jane Willis, the basis for Kate Bosworth's character, attended Harvard not MIT The Boston Globe.
Bill Kaplan, one of the team's leaders, graduated from Harvard University and Harvard Business School WickedLocal.
Who bankrolled the MIT Blackjack Team?
The documentary explores Strategic Investments LP and the MIT team.
In the movie, we're expected to believe that Micky Rosa Kevin Spacey provided the startup money for the team.
In real life, the team leaders J.
Masser, John Chang, and Bill Kaplan formed a Massachusetts Limited Partnership called Strategic Investments in 1992.
Creating a company allowed the team to recruit its players and raise venture capital as a legal entity.
The money came from past players and the team leaders, including Bill Kaplan, who says that he also received investment capital from his former college roommate, a number of his Havard Business School sectionmates, and other friends and family.
The company is further explored in thewhich also examines the rigorous "checkouts" that the players had to endure.
M" in the documentary required that players be able to play through 10 shoes, while only making a limited number of counting mistakes.
Strategic Investments LP disbanded on December 31, 1993 as the result of banned players, long losing streaks, and a lack of time due to more profitable business opportunities in the real estate market Bill Kaplan.
Shortly after SI was terminated, one of its former players, Basic blackjack strategy mit Dukach, created his own team, which employed 60 players in 5 cities.
Semyon's team operated under the guise Amphibian Investments.
The movie 21 and Ben Mezrich's book, Bringing Down the House, were both based on a smaller team that was an offshoot of Amphibian Investments.
The movie shows Ben using flash cards to practice the various code words, which were used to represent the count.
The Spotter conveys the count to the Big Player by casually using the code word in a sentence.
A list of the code words and their corresponding values is at montreal blackjack casino below: Tree: +1 a tree looks like a oneSwitch: +2 binary, on or offStool: +3 a stool has three legsCar: +4 cars have four tiresGlove: +5 a glove has five fingersGun: +6 a gun holds six bulletsCraps: +7 lucky sevenPool: +8 eight ball Prior to this point, the count isn't high enough in face cards and 10's to warrant extravagant bets.
However, after this point, the odds are in your favor.
It is okay to bet semi-recklessly.
Cat: +9 cats have nine livesBowling: +10 strike is ten pinsFootball: +11 eleven players on a football teamEggs: +12 twelve eggs in a cartonWitch: +13 superstition, bad luck number If the count is greater than this, Ben Mezrich's book "Bringing Down the House" tells us that we should put it all on the table.
Ring: +14 fourteen carat goldPaycheck: +15 day of the month most people get paidSweet: +16 sweet sixteenMagazine: +17 name of the teen magazineVoting booth: +18 age you can vote What blackjack book is Ben reading on the airplane in the movie 21?
Thorp's book was the team's blackjack Bible.
In the movie, Ben Campbell Jim Sturgess is reading by Edward O.
First published in the 1960s, Thorp's book became the Bible for the MIT team.
The book's "Basic Strategy" chart reveals a set truck blackjack charlottesville food mathematically correct decisions to employ when playing blackjack.
Thorp, a former UCLA math professor, used a now vintage MIT IBM 704 computer to calculate "Basic Strategy" in blackjack.
Mike Aponte, who the Fisher character is based on, addressed this question by saying, "There are some parts in the book where I just scratch my head because obviously Ben Mezrich, the author, took artistic liberties.
On Chinese New Year, he invited us to a private party in Chinatown.
When we arrived, we saw they had a few blackjack tables set up.
It wasn't much, but they were playing for real money.
Despite various voices on the internet coming out against the movie's mostly white, non-Asian cast some Facebook users have even called for a boycott of the filmthe real MIT Blackjack Team's former members were not offended.
The real Jeff Ma Ben Campbell in the movie said, "For me it wasn't a big deal, because for about three years people had been asking me who I wanted to play me in a movie and I never was saying like 'John Cho' or 'Chow Yun-Fat' or 'Jackie Chan.
Mike Aponte, the basis for the Fisher character, says that they did carry most of the money on their persons when going through airport security.
This is because cash was easily recognized by security through the x-ray machine.
If they had a lot of chips, they stored them in carry-on bags.
Mike says that security usually didn't realize the number of chips that were actually there BlackJackInfo.
Ben Mezrich's book Bringing Down basic blackjack strategy mit House describes much more elaborate techniques that the players used to smuggle money.
The methods include using fake umbrellas, laptop computers, plaster casts and hollow crutches.
The author even quotes the book's main character, Kevin Lewis, whose real life counterpart is Jeff Ma.
But Ma said that he never described such techniques to Mezrich, or knew of anyone using them.
Jeff Ma said that the first time that he had heard of such cloak-and-dagger tactics was when he read Mezrich's book.
In an interview with Quint more info Ain't It Cool News, Jeff Ma, the real life individual on whom the movie's main character is based, said the following, "I realized it's not really a movie about me.
It's not like an autobiographical documentary about my life.
It's a cool movie about stuff that we did and a lot of the stuff that we did is very on point and true in the movie, but the storyline has changed quite a bit.
I think what it does do well though is it captures the excitement of what we pulled off during our playing days.
Mezrich's book has faced scrutiny.
Ben Mezrich began his literary career writing techno-thriller fiction.
His 2002 nonfiction bestselleron which the movie 21 is based, has faced scrutiny for its embellishment and massaging of the facts that make up the MIT Blackjack Team's true story.
Mezrich attempted to defend such accusations by saying, "Every word on the page isn't supposed to be fact-checkable.
In the movie, Ben's weekends as a high roller tips main blackjack cause him to lose his two closest friends, who no longer want him to participate with them in a robotics competition.
Former MIT team leader John Chang responded to this scene in his blog by saying, "Starting from the part where Ben loses control at the Red Rock and loses 200K, the movie takes off on a tangent that has no resemblance to reality.
Our players were far too disciplined to even think of doing something like that.
As I see it, that entire scene is a plot device to end the movie - create a conflict between Campbell and Rosa that leads up to the switcheroo finale.
Similar to Fishburne's character basic blackjack strategy mit the movie, Andy Anderson right investigated the MIT Blackjack Team for over four years.
In the movie, Cole Williams Laurence Fishburne is a casino security expert who investigates the team.
Fishburne's character was not specifically based on any single real life individual.
The 21 movie's true story reveals that the real MIT Blackjack Team was investigated bya security agency that had been used by casinos worldwide.
Andy Anderson, a tall silver-haired man who worked for Griffin, followed the team for four to five years and played a major role in exposing their strategy Breaking Vegas.
As a result, several of the MIT team members were black-booked by Griffin.
Their faces landed in the Griffin Book, a dossier of photos distributed to casinos around the world Breaking Vegas.
These players are usually allowed on the casino floor, but are forbidden to go near the blackjack tables.
In the movie, we see Ben Jim Sturgess take a beating from Cole Williams Laurence Fishburne after he is caught counting cards.
Similarly, in Ben Mezrich's book Breaking Vegas, we find the Fisher character beaten bloody in the bathroom of a Bahamian casino.
Mike Aponte, the real life Fisher, says that he was never beaten up in a casino anywhere The Boston Globe.
John Chang, part of the inspiration for Kevin Spacey's character, said, "You might wonder, are the books true?
He wants to sell books.
If he makes up a few lurid details, well, who's going to object?
So, let's beat up one of the players.
In basic blackjack strategy mit, let's make him swallow a chip.
In the movie 21, Ben Campbell Jim Sturgess impresses professor Micky Rosa Kevin Spacey by coming up with the idea of using strippers to cash out their MGM Grand chips.
In the book, Micky is the one who comes up with the idea.
In reality, it never happened at all.
Who in remarkable, casino strategy blackjack switch right! right mind would do that?
Did team members ever drink, visit strip clubs, or play slots during the trips?
John Chang says players did not party in the middle of a trip.
No, at least not like we see in the movie, where characters use such vices to celebrate a big night.
John Chang, one of Micky Rosa's real life counterparts, said that, to clarify the MIT Blackjack Team's true story, the players did not "drink, visit brothels or strip clubs, or play slots in the middle of trips.
Our time was too valuable, and our focus too intense to bother.
You'd be considered such a losing sucker if you did any of that.
Mike Aponte, the real life Fisher, stated that "in contrast to what the book said, there was only one time that we, as a team, went to a strip joint.
Typically, we were all business in Vegas, but after that record win we had to go out on the town and celebrate.
In the movie, Micky Rosa Kevin Spacey steals Ben's winnings that he hides in the ceiling of his dorm room.
In real life, there is no confirmed report of a team leader ever stealing money from a player.
In addition, no such incident is mentioned in the book.
Even with smaller actual profits than we see in the movie, players left some of the money in Vegas.
The players were smart enough not to hide all of their winnings in a single location.
In an interview, John Chang's wife recalled the just click for source she helped him clean out his apartment before a move.
It happened on the weekend of Super Bowl XXIX in 1995.
Despite what we see basic blackjack strategy mit the movie, the real MIT team played at casinos all over the world, including Las Vegas, Atlantic City, Foxwoods Connecticutriverboat casinos, the Bahamas, St.
Martin, Aruba, Puerto Rico, and Europe.
Playing at more locations allowed the team to remain undetected longer.
Jeff Ma, the inspiration for the movie's central character, Ben Campbell, and Henry Houh, another former player, appear in the movie as casino dealers.
Jeff Ma plays one of the Planet Hollywood blackjack dealers the one the main character knows from playing so much.
It's not like I was sitting in the director's chair making adjustments.
I heard that one of the players dressed like a woman to fool casino security?
John Chang, part of the inspiration for Micky Rosa Kevin Spaceydressed like a woman to fool casino security.
He wore a hat, a dress, and pantyhose.
His feminine disguise worked in the Bahamas, but it caught the attention of surveillance at the Taj in Atlantic City.
She's all petite, and I look at her hands, and they're just tiny.
Then I look at my hands next to hers and I thought, "Ooo, not good.
It turned out that when I was noticing this, surveillance was noticing the same thing, and they just busted up laughing.
Mezrich's 2nd book about MIT teams chronicles players from the History Channel special.
Released in 2004, the History Channel documentary focuses on a different group link students than we see represented in the 2008 movie 21.
This is because throughout the 1990s the MIT Blackjack Team both dissolved and reformed, first operating as part of the company Strategic Investments LP, and then reforming to operate under Amphibian Investments.
Also, at its peak, there were over 60 players on the MIT team, not 5 like we see in the movie.
Often times, the team was organized into groups, which operated in different cities.
The blackjack boats 256 in the movie 21 represent a team that began as a smaller offshoot of the Amphibian Investments team.
Ben Mezrich's second MIT blackjack book chronicles the group of players featured in https://clearadultskin.com/blackjack/mafiabikes-blackjack-d-review.html History Channel documentary.
This includes the MIT computer go here graduate Semyon Dukach, a math whiz who is the son of Russian immigrants.
Mike unofficially retired from the MIT team in the spring of 2000.
By then, it was much tougher for him to play.
MIT Massachusetts Institute of Technology did not permit the filmmakers to shoot on their campus.
Most of the MIT campus scenes were filmed at Boston University.
Thorp used mathematics to create the blackjack "basic strategy" chart.
Since the release of his 1962 book,players have memorized the chart in an effort to have basic blackjack strategy mit advantage when the cards are dealt.
Thorp's table has been described as the next best thing to actually learning how to count cards.
Here, you can view the basic strategy table.
The first free blackjack videogame listed below is available from WiiPlayable.
The site hosts hundreds of games that are playable on both your computer and the Nintendo Wii console, including blackjack.
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Have fun practicing blackjack strategy!
MIT Blackjack Team - Player Interviews Meet former players from the real MIT Blackjack Team, who were the inspiration for the 21 movie true story.
The videos below include interviews with John Chang, Jeff Ma, and Mike Aponte.
An interview with John Chang, the inspiration for Kevin Spacey's character in the movie 21.
Chang talks with FOX Business analyst Neil Cavuto, who asks him about the movie and why he's wearing a disguise.
Mike Aponte, the basis for the Jimmy Fisher character in the movie 21, discusses what count values to assign to which groups of cards in blackjack.
Jeff Ma, the basis for Jim Sturgess's character in 21, responds to questions that he is frequently asked about the 21 movie true story.
For more videos from Jeff, visit Jeff Ma's Wild World of Gambling.
Jeff Ma explains how to count cards in blackjack.
For example, he points out that when there are a lot of low cards left in the deck, it's in the dealer's favor, and when there are a lot of high cards left in the deck, it's in the player's favor.
Bill Kaplan, who is part of the basis for Kevin Spacey's 21 movie character, talks about the origins of the MIT blackjack team.
The film stars Jim Sturgess, Kate Bosworth and Kevin Spacey.
It is based on the book Bringing Down the House by Ben Mezrich.

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But for a few years in the 1980s, Bill Kaplan and a few associates figured out a way to clean house and rake in cash, and thus, the legend of the MIT Blackjack Team was born.
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I read this book by Edward O.
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Was there something that set the MIT team apart?
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I read this book by Edward O.
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He said if you crunched all the numbers, the game actually could be beaten, if you kept to a certain system.
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Blackjack Expert Explains How Card Counting Works